Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.003435 0.003606 0.003780 0.003971 0.004176 0.004389 0.004627
2025-05-25 0.003185 0.003444 0.003719 0.004035 0.004389 0.004774 0.005227
2025-06-01 0.002986 0.003292 0.003627 0.004022 0.004478 0.004992 0.005617
2025-06-08 0.002822 0.003158 0.003534 0.003989 0.004527 0.005149 0.005929
2025-06-15 0.002667 0.003022 0.003426 0.003924 0.004525 0.005236 0.006151
2025-06-22 0.002540 0.002909 0.003336 0.003869 0.004527 0.005320 0.006365
2025-06-29 0.002458 0.002844 0.003296 0.003872 0.004593 0.005480 0.006677
2025-07-06 0.002324 0.002710 0.003168 0.003756 0.004504 0.005439 0.006723
2025-07-13 0.002262 0.002660 0.003137 0.003759 0.004562 0.005584 0.007016
2025-07-20 0.002229 0.002644 0.003147 0.003812 0.004685 0.005816 0.007435
2025-07-27 0.002159 0.002578 0.003092 0.003778 0.004691 0.005890 0.007638
2025-08-03 0.002100 0.002524 0.003048 0.003757 0.004710 0.005983 0.007869
2025-08-10 0.002040 0.002468 0.003001 0.003729 0.004722 0.006066 0.008093
2025-08-17 0.002020 0.002462 0.003019 0.003788 0.004853 0.006319 0.008578
2025-08-24 0.001973 0.002418 0.002985 0.003776 0.004884 0.006431 0.008858
2025-08-31 0.001921 0.002367 0.002940 0.003746 0.004887 0.006502 0.009077
2025-09-07 0.001860 0.002303 0.002875 0.003686 0.004845 0.006504 0.009187
2025-09-14 0.001807 0.002247 0.002819 0.003636 0.004815 0.006522 0.009320
2025-09-21 0.001776 0.002220 0.002800 0.003638 0.004860 0.006651 0.009639
2025-09-28 0.001706 0.002139 0.002707 0.003532 0.004742 0.006529 0.009540
2025-10-05 0.001679 0.002115 0.002691 0.003535 0.004784 0.006654 0.009855
2025-10-12 0.001670 0.002115 0.002708 0.003584 0.004898 0.006893 0.010374
2025-10-19 0.001633 0.002076 0.002669 0.003552 0.004888 0.006936 0.010559